Croatia vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
CRO
2 - 1
SEN
73%
18%
9%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
BRA
2 - 0
CRO
76%
16%
8%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
MEX
0 - 1
CRO
51%
25%
24%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
PER
2 - 0
CRO
35%
26%
39%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
GRC
0 - 0
CRO
21%
24%
55%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2018 |
CZE
1 - 0
NGA
59%
24%
18%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
ENG
2 - 1
NGA
75%
17%
8%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2018 |
NGA
1 - 1
COD
66%
21%
14%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2018 |
NGA
2 - 3
ATM
28%
27%
45%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
NGA
0 - 2
SRB
56%
24%
20%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |