Croatia vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
33.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2014 |
CMR
0 - 4
CRO
17%
22%
61%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2014 |
BRA
3 - 1
CRO
75%
16%
9%
|
91 | 97 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
CRO
1 - 0
AUS
61%
22%
17%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
CRO
2 - 1
MLI
81%
14%
5%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
SUI
2 - 2
CRO
41%
26%
33%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 0
MEX
78%
15%
8%
|
90 | 97 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2014 |
MEX
1 - 0
CMR
65%
21%
15%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
MEX
0 - 1
POR
38%
26%
36%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
MEX
0 - 1
BIH
73%
17%
9%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
MEX
3 - 1
ECU
55%
24%
21%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | +1 |