Croatia vs North Macedonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
6.5%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
EGY
2 - 4
CRO
25%
25%
50%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
TUN
0 - 0
CRO
19%
24%
57%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
CRO
1 - 0
ARM
82%
13%
5%
|
91 | 67 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
LVA
0 - 2
CRO
7%
17%
77%
|
91 | 56 | 35 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
WAL
2 - 1
CRO
17%
24%
59%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
North Macedonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
MNE
1 - 0
MKD
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
MKD
1 - 1
MDA
80%
14%
6%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
MKD
1 - 1
ENG
6%
15%
79%
|
75 | 94 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
ITA
5 - 2
MKD
82%
13%
5%
|
75 | 92 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
MKD
3 - 1
ARM
55%
23%
23%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |