Croatia vs Lithuania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
9.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1994 |
EST
0 - 2
CRO
14%
22%
64%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1994 |
ISR
0 - 4
CRO
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1994 |
CRO
0 - 0
ARG
17%
22%
60%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1994 |
HUN
2 - 2
CRO
77%
15%
8%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1994 |
SVK
4 - 1
CRO
38%
25%
37%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1994 |
UKR
0 - 2
LTU
70%
17%
13%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1994 |
SWE
4 - 2
LTU
94%
5%
1%
|
72 | 92 | 20 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 1994 |
LTU
1 - 0
LVA
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 1994 |
LTU
3 - 0
EST
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1994 |
CZE
5 - 3
LTU
68%
18%
14%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |