Croatia vs Greece analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2001 |
CRO
4 - 1
LVA
91%
7%
2%
|
91 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2001 |
CRO
1 - 0
AUT
57%
21%
22%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2000 |
CRO
1 - 1
SCO
57%
23%
20%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
BEL
0 - 0
CRO
68%
19%
14%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2000 |
SVK
1 - 1
CRO
29%
26%
45%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2001 |
GRC
2 - 4
GER
27%
27%
47%
|
87 | 95 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2001 |
GRC
3 - 3
RUS
43%
25%
32%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2000 |
GRC
1 - 1
NED
14%
22%
64%
|
87 | 98 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2000 |
GRC
0 - 2
SVK
73%
17%
10%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2000 |
ALB
2 - 0
GRC
23%
28%
49%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | -1 |