Croatia vs Estonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.7%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.1%
4-0
11.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
15.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.2%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.5%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.7%
2.6%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
CRO
1 - 1
WAL
73%
17%
10%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2002 |
ECU
1 - 0
CRO
25%
25%
50%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2002 |
ITA
1 - 2
CRO
78%
15%
7%
|
91 | 99 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2002 |
CRO
0 - 1
MEX
46%
25%
29%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2002 |
HUN
0 - 2
CRO
39%
26%
36%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
EST
1 - 0
MDA
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2002 |
KAZ
1 - 1
EST
62%
20%
18%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2002 |
EST
0 - 0
AZE
63%
21%
17%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2002 |
SMR
0 - 1
EST
18%
21%
62%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2002 |
POL
1 - 0
EST
73%
18%
9%
|
68 | 90 | 22 | -1 |