Croatia vs Estonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.9%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
12.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
14.3%
3-0
17.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.2%
+3
20.7%
2-0
18.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
23%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
17.9%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
<0%
0
8.3%
1.8%
Win probability
0.26
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1995 |
UKR
1 - 0
CRO
39%
25%
36%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
CRO
2 - 0
SVN
79%
14%
8%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1995 |
LTU
0 - 0
CRO
25%
26%
49%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1995 |
CRO
4 - 0
UKR
73%
16%
11%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1994 |
ITA
1 - 2
CRO
88%
9%
3%
|
81 | 96 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1995 |
EST
0 - 1
LTU
22%
24%
54%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1995 |
EST
1 - 3
SVN
26%
26%
49%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1995 |
EST
0 - 7
LTU
24%
25%
52%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1995 |
LVA
2 - 0
EST
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
EST
0 - 1
UKR
16%
24%
60%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |