Croatia vs Slovenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
5.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1997 |
CRO
1 - 1
DEN
31%
27%
42%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1996 |
CRO
1 - 1
CZE
66%
19%
15%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1996 |
MAR
2 - 2
CRO
45%
26%
29%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1996 |
CRO
1 - 1
GRC
74%
16%
10%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1996 |
BIH
1 - 4
CRO
18%
24%
59%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Slovenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1997 |
AUT
0 - 2
SVN
88%
9%
3%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1996 |
SVN
1 - 2
BIH
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
SVN
0 - 2
DEN
17%
26%
57%
|
75 | 92 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1996 |
SVN
2 - 2
UAE
68%
18%
15%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1996 |
GRC
2 - 0
SVN
74%
16%
11%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |