Croatia vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CRO
1 - 0
POL
52%
23%
25%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
POR
2 - 1
CRO
60%
21%
19%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
CRO
1 - 1
ITA
38%
25%
37%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
CRO
2 - 2
ALB
81%
14%
5%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
ESP
3 - 0
CRO
67%
18%
15%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
POR
2 - 1
SCO
78%
14%
8%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
SCO
2 - 3
POL
31%
25%
44%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
SCO
0 - 1
HUN
36%
25%
39%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
SCO
1 - 1
SUI
26%
25%
50%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
GER
5 - 1
SCO
81%
12%
7%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |