Croatia vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
22.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2018 |
ISL
1 - 2
CRO
19%
23%
58%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2018 |
ARG
0 - 3
CRO
59%
22%
20%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
CRO
2 - 0
NGA
66%
20%
13%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
CRO
2 - 1
SEN
73%
18%
9%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
BRA
2 - 0
CRO
76%
16%
8%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2018 |
DEN
0 - 0
FRA
25%
25%
50%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2018 |
DEN
1 - 1
AUS
54%
23%
23%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
PER
0 - 1
DEN
44%
25%
31%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
DEN
2 - 0
MEX
37%
26%
37%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
SWE
0 - 0
DEN
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |