Croatia vs Albania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.9%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
14%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
5.4%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
ESP
3 - 0
CRO
67%
18%
15%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
POR
1 - 2
CRO
63%
20%
17%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
CRO
3 - 0
MKD
79%
15%
7%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
EGY
2 - 4
CRO
25%
25%
50%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
TUN
0 - 0
CRO
19%
24%
57%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Albania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
ITA
2 - 1
ALB
81%
14%
5%
|
76 | 92 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
ALB
3 - 1
AZE
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
ALB
3 - 0
LIE
82%
14%
5%
|
75 | 23 | 52 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
SWE
1 - 0
ALB
74%
17%
9%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
ALB
0 - 3
CHI
22%
26%
52%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |