Croatia vs Azerbaijan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.1%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.6%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.1%
3.8%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ENG
2 - 1
CRO
49%
24%
26%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
CRO
3 - 2
ESP
22%
23%
55%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2018 |
CRO
2 - 1
JOR
81%
14%
5%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
CRO
0 - 0
ENG
37%
26%
37%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
ESP
6 - 0
CRO
70%
18%
12%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
XXK
4 - 0
AZE
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
AZE
2 - 0
FRO
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
AZE
1 - 1
MLT
66%
22%
12%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
FRO
0 - 3
AZE
26%
24%
50%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2018 |
MLT
1 - 1
AZE
18%
23%
59%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |