CAF Qualifying 2da Ronda Final
Global 6-2
Ivory Coast vs Senegal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
15.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ivory Coast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
RUS
1 - 1
CIV
58%
23%
19%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 2
CIV
36%
27%
37%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
CIV
2 - 0
TAN
75%
17%
8%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
CIV
2 - 1
MLI
70%
19%
11%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
CIV
0 - 0
GUI
73%
18%
10%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
UGA
1 - 1
SEN
33%
28%
39%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
SEN
3 - 1
LBR
85%
11%
4%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 1
SEN
55%
25%
20%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
RSA
0 - 0
SEN
48%
27%
24%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LBY
2 - 1
SEN
24%
25%
51%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |