Ivory Coast vs Senegal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
17.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ivory Coast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2006 |
CIV
3 - 2
SCG
61%
21%
18%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2006 |
NED
2 - 1
CIV
88%
9%
3%
|
86 | 97 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2006 |
ARG
2 - 1
CIV
87%
10%
3%
|
86 | 97 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
SVN
0 - 3
CIV
47%
27%
27%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2006 |
CHI
1 - 1
CIV
60%
23%
17%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2006 |
KOR
1 - 1
SEN
63%
23%
14%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
SEN
2 - 1
NOR
21%
26%
52%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2006 |
NGA
1 - 0
SEN
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2006 |
EGY
2 - 1
SEN
76%
15%
10%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2006 |
GUI
2 - 3
SEN
28%
26%
47%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |