Ivory Coast vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ivory Coast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
ENG
3 - 0
CIV
80%
14%
6%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
FRA
2 - 1
CIV
83%
12%
5%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
CIV
0 - 0
EGY
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2022 |
CIV
3 - 1
ALG
46%
25%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
CIV
2 - 2
SLE
81%
14%
5%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
ZAM
1 - 2
BEN
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
IRQ
3 - 1
ZAM
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
TUN
3 - 1
ZAM
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
ZAM
4 - 0
MTN
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
ZAM
1 - 1
EQG
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |