Ivory Coast vs Togo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
6.2%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ivory Coast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2017 |
CIV
3 - 0
UGA
76%
17%
8%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
SWE
1 - 2
CIV
58%
23%
19%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
CIV
0 - 0
ZIM
77%
16%
7%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
FRA
0 - 0
CIV
76%
16%
8%
|
86 | 94 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
CIV
33%
27%
40%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 1
TOG
69%
21%
10%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
TOG
1 - 1
COM
82%
14%
4%
|
63 | 14 | 49 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
TOG
2 - 0
MOZ
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
TOG
1 - 0
UGA
27%
27%
47%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
TOG
5 - 0
DJI
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 33 | 29 | 0 |