Ivory Coast vs Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.1%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
6.2%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ivory Coast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
CIV
2 - 1
SEN
52%
26%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2004 |
CMR
2 - 0
CIV
53%
26%
21%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
EGY
1 - 2
CIV
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
CIV
2 - 0
LBY
69%
20%
12%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
GUI
2 - 4
CIV
29%
28%
43%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
SDN
0 - 1
LBY
34%
26%
40%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
BEN
1 - 1
SDN
37%
25%
38%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
SDN
0 - 3
EGY
21%
27%
52%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2004 |
SDN
0 - 2
ZAM
33%
26%
41%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2004 |
SDN
2 - 1
UGA
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |