Ivory Coast vs South Africa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ivory Coast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2002 |
COD
3 - 1
CIV
25%
26%
49%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2002 |
CMR
1 - 0
CIV
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2002 |
TOG
0 - 0
CIV
11%
23%
66%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
CIV
1 - 1
NGA
48%
27%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2001 |
MLI
0 - 3
CIV
27%
28%
45%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
RSA
4 - 1
SWZ
85%
11%
4%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2002 |
RSA
4 - 1
MAD
83%
13%
5%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2002 |
RSA
2 - 3
ESP
1%
10%
89%
|
83 | 99 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2002 |
RSA
1 - 0
SVN
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2002 |
PAR
2 - 2
RSA
75%
16%
9%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | +1 |