Ivory Coast vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ivory Coast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
TAN
2 - 4
CIV
11%
21%
68%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
GAM
0 - 3
CIV
16%
25%
59%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
CIV
3 - 0
GAM
77%
16%
7%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CIV
1 - 2
NGA
55%
23%
21%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
ALG
2 - 2
CIV
16%
21%
63%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
NGA
0 - 3
ESP
4%
10%
86%
|
86 | 98 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2013 |
NGA
1 - 2
URU
23%
23%
54%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2013 |
TAH
1 - 6
NGA
6%
18%
76%
|
87 | 46 | 41 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2013 |
NAM
1 - 1
NGA
20%
28%
52%
|
87 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
KEN
0 - 1
NGA
19%
28%
53%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | 0 |