Ivory Coast vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ivory Coast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
DZA
2 - 2
CIV
16%
21%
63%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
CIV
3 - 0
TUN
60%
21%
19%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2013 |
CIV
2 - 1
TGO
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2013 |
CIV
4 - 2
EGY
50%
26%
25%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
AUT
0 - 3
CIV
44%
25%
31%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2013 |
ETH
0 - 2
NGA
13%
22%
65%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
ZMB
1 - 1
NGA
20%
26%
55%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2013 |
NGA
1 - 1
BFA
78%
15%
7%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2013 |
CPV
0 - 0
NGA
25%
29%
46%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2012 |
VEN
1 - 3
NGA
49%
26%
26%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |