Ivory Coast vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ivory Coast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1993 |
ALG
1 - 1
CIV
55%
24%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1993 |
CIV
1 - 0
NIG
82%
12%
6%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1993 |
BOT
0 - 0
CIV
14%
22%
64%
|
77 | 49 | 28 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1992 |
NIG
0 - 0
CIV
21%
23%
56%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1992 |
USA
5 - 2
CIV
54%
26%
20%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1993 |
NGA
4 - 0
SDN
78%
17%
6%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1993 |
ETH
1 - 0
NGA
28%
27%
44%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1993 |
NGA
2 - 0
CGO
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1993 |
RSA
0 - 0
NGA
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1992 |
CGO
0 - 1
NGA
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |