Ivory Coast vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
13.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ivory Coast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2015 |
SWE
2 - 0
CIV
56%
23%
22%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
NGA
0 - 1
CIV
44%
24%
32%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
RSA
2 - 0
CIV
24%
24%
52%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
CIV
0 - 0
CMR
57%
23%
20%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
SLE
1 - 5
CIV
18%
24%
58%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2015 |
SEN
5 - 2
GUI
52%
26%
22%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
GUI
2 - 0
UGA
59%
23%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
TOG
1 - 4
GUI
27%
26%
48%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
GHA
3 - 1
GUI
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
GUI
1 - 1
GHA
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |