CAF Final

Ivory Coast vs Ghana analysis

Ivory Coast Ghana
85 ELO 83
4.5% Tilt 10.6%
207º General ELO ranking 427º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
57.1%
Ivory Coast
22.6%
Draw
20.3%
Ghana

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
Ivory Coast
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.3%
Win probability
Ghana
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ivory Coast
-3%
-10%
Ghana

ELO progression

Ivory Coast
Ghana
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ivory Coast
Ivory Coast
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Feb. 2015
COD
RD Congo
1 - 3
Ivory Coast
CIV
13%
19%
67%
85 69 16 0
01 Feb. 2015
CIV
Ivory Coast
3 - 1
Algeria
ALG
66%
20%
14%
85 79 6 0
28 Jan. 2015
CMR
Cameroon
0 - 1
Ivory Coast
CIV
31%
25%
44%
85 84 1 0
24 Jan. 2015
CIV
Ivory Coast
1 - 1
Mali
MLI
69%
18%
12%
85 74 11 0
20 Jan. 2015
CIV
Ivory Coast
1 - 1
Guinea
GUI
68%
18%
13%
85 73 12 0

Matches

Ghana
Ghana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Feb. 2015
GHA
Ghana
3 - 0
Equatorial Guinea
EQG
77%
15%
8%
83 58 25 0
01 Feb. 2015
GHA
Ghana
3 - 0
Guinea
GUI
60%
22%
19%
82 73 9 +1
27 Jan. 2015
RSA
South Africa
1 - 2
Ghana
GHA
37%
28%
36%
82 81 1 0
23 Jan. 2015
GHA
Ghana
1 - 0
Algeria
ALG
55%
24%
20%
82 79 3 0
19 Jan. 2015
GHA
Ghana
1 - 2
Senegal
SEN
48%
25%
27%
82 81 1 0
X