Ivory Coast vs Gabon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ivory Coast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
CIV
32%
27%
42%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
RWA
1 - 0
CIV
12%
22%
65%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2016 |
NGA
1 - 0
CIV
42%
25%
33%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
CIV
3 - 0
LBR
92%
6%
2%
|
86 | 56 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
LBR
0 - 1
CIV
6%
16%
78%
|
86 | 56 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
RWA
2 - 1
GAB
29%
27%
45%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
GAB
0 - 0
MAR
25%
28%
46%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
UGA
1 - 1
GAB
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
GAB
1 - 0
MOZ
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
MOZ
1 - 0
GAB
26%
26%
48%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |