Ivory Coast vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ivory Coast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
CIV
1 - 1
SLE
80%
15%
6%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
CIV
2 - 1
GAB
78%
16%
7%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
HUN
0 - 0
CIV
43%
26%
32%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
SDN
1 - 1
CIV
14%
22%
64%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
CIV
1 - 0
SDN
80%
15%
5%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | +1 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MLI
5 - 2
BEN
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
SSD
0 - 3
MLI
15%
21%
64%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2016 |
NGA
1 - 0
MLI
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
EQG
0 - 1
MLI
17%
23%
61%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
MLI
1 - 0
EQG
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | +1 |