Ivory Coast vs Madagascar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
94.2%
Win probability
3.55
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1.5%
7-0
3.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.5%
6-0
6.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
<0%
+6
7.1%
5-0
10.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
12.2%
4-0
14.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
17.6%
3-0
16.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.7%
2-0
14%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
12%
4.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
2%
2-2
0.4%
3-3
<0%
0
4.7%
1%
Win probability
0.25
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0%
-1
0.9%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ivory Coast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
MAD
0 - 3
CIV
5%
17%
78%
|
87 | 51 | 36 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2007 |
MUS
0 - 3
CIV
6%
18%
77%
|
87 | 52 | 35 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2007 |
CIV
1 - 0
GUI
71%
19%
10%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
SWE
0 - 1
CIV
73%
18%
9%
|
86 | 94 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
CIV
5 - 0
GAB
75%
17%
9%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
MAD
0 - 5
SYC
56%
22%
22%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
MAD
0 - 1
ZIM
20%
25%
55%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
MAD
0 - 3
CIV
5%
17%
78%
|
51 | 87 | 36 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
GAB
4 - 0
MAD
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
MAD
0 - 2
SWZ
48%
23%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |