WC Qual. Africa 1ra y 2da Ronda Final
Global 4-0
Ivory Coast vs Liberia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.7%
Win probability
3.39
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.8%
5-0
8.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
+5
10.6%
4-0
12.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.3%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
6.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
3%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
6.4%
1.9%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ivory Coast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
LBR
0 - 1
CIV
6%
16%
78%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
CIV
1 - 0
GHA
58%
23%
19%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
GHA
2 - 1
CIV
36%
26%
39%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
CIV
32%
26%
42%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SLE
0 - 0
CIV
13%
21%
66%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
LBR
0 - 1
CIV
6%
16%
78%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
GNB
1 - 3
LBR
34%
24%
43%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
LBR
1 - 1
GNB
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
LBR
1 - 0
TUN
12%
21%
68%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
LBR
1 - 1
GUI
13%
18%
68%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | +1 |