Ivory Coast vs Ethiopia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
9.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ivory Coast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
CIV
1 - 0
SDN
74%
15%
11%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1970 |
CMR
3 - 2
CIV
66%
18%
16%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1969 |
CGO
1 - 1
CIV
46%
21%
33%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1968 |
GHA
2 - 1
CIV
68%
17%
16%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
CIV
1 - 0
ETH
75%
14%
11%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
CMR
3 - 2
ETH
78%
13%
9%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1970 |
SDN
3 - 0
ETH
66%
18%
16%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1969 |
UGA
4 - 0
ETH
40%
24%
36%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
CIV
1 - 0
ETH
75%
14%
11%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1968 |
ETH
2 - 3
COD
62%
19%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |