Ivory Coast vs Angola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ivory Coast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
CIV
2 - 0
BFA
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CIV
1 - 0
SDN
83%
12%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2012 |
CIV
1 - 0
LBY
77%
16%
7%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2012 |
TUN
0 - 2
CIV
38%
27%
35%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
RSA
1 - 1
CIV
34%
28%
39%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Angola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
SDN
2 - 2
ANG
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
BFA
1 - 2
ANG
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
ANG
3 - 1
SLE
52%
26%
22%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2012 |
NGA
0 - 0
ANG
75%
17%
8%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2011 |
ANG
0 - 0
NAM
66%
22%
13%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |