Comoros vs Zimbabwe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.8%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
77%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
16%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
ZIM
2 - 0
COM
80%
15%
5%
|
10 | 66 | 56 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
BFA
2 - 0
COM
87%
10%
3%
|
11 | 67 | 56 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
COM
1 - 1
KEN
14%
22%
64%
|
10 | 59 | 49 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
KEN
1 - 0
COM
78%
15%
6%
|
10 | 59 | 49 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
BFA
1 - 1
COM
86%
11%
4%
|
9 | 68 | 59 | +1 |
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
ZIM
2 - 0
COM
80%
15%
5%
|
66 | 10 | 56 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
MWI
1 - 2
ZIM
36%
27%
38%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2015 |
NAM
4 - 1
ZIM
24%
25%
51%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2015 |
SYC
0 - 1
ZIM
12%
20%
69%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ZIM
2 - 0
MUS
72%
19%
10%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |