Comoros vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
57.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+99%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
KEN
0 - 2
COM
57%
25%
18%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
COM
0 - 1
ZIM
31%
27%
43%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 2
COM
29%
25%
47%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
MAD
2 - 1
COM
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
COM
0 - 0
ANG
19%
26%
55%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
ZAM
0 - 2
ZIM
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
ZAM
0 - 2
KEN
63%
21%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
ZAM
0 - 1
TAN
72%
18%
10%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
ZAM
71%
19%
10%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
MWI
1 - 2
ZAM
22%
25%
53%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |