Comoros vs Lesotho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
55.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
COM
2 - 1
ETH
11%
17%
72%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2022 |
CMR
2 - 1
COM
78%
17%
5%
|
46 | 81 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
GHA
2 - 3
COM
84%
13%
4%
|
45 | 80 | 35 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
COM
86%
11%
3%
|
45 | 89 | 44 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2022 |
COM
0 - 1
GAB
11%
20%
69%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2022 |
ETH
1 - 1
LSO
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
ETH
1 - 1
LSO
61%
21%
18%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
LSO
3 - 1
SYC
68%
21%
11%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
SYC
0 - 0
LSO
11%
19%
70%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
RSA
4 - 0
LSO
73%
18%
9%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | -1 |