WC Qual. Africa 1ra y 2da Ronda Semi-finals
Global 1-1
Comoros vs Lesotho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.9%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
76.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
COM
0 - 1
UGA
7%
16%
78%
|
10 | 69 | 59 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
MUS
3 - 0
COM
80%
14%
7%
|
10 | 43 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
COM
0 - 0
ZIM
7%
16%
77%
|
9 | 65 | 56 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
ZIM
2 - 0
COM
80%
15%
5%
|
9 | 64 | 55 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
BFA
2 - 0
COM
87%
10%
3%
|
9 | 65 | 56 | 0 |
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
LSO
1 - 3
ALG
13%
24%
63%
|
52 | 79 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 1
LSO
55%
25%
20%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
LSO
0 - 0
BOT
25%
29%
46%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
ETH
2 - 1
LSO
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
LSO
2 - 0
TAN
21%
25%
54%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |