Colombia vs Senegal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
11.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 0
COL
52%
26%
22%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
ECU
0 - 2
COL
44%
28%
28%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 0
COL
74%
18%
9%
|
92 | 100 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
COL
1 - 1
PER
65%
22%
14%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
USA
0 - 0
COL
56%
24%
20%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
CMR
0 - 0
SEN
53%
26%
21%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
SEN
1 - 0
CMR
37%
28%
36%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2011 |
SEN
0 - 2
TUN
46%
27%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2011 |
SEN
0 - 0
ANG
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
SEN
3 - 0
GUI
57%
24%
19%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |