Colombia vs Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
11.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
HND
2 - 1
COL
32%
30%
39%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2008 |
URU
2 - 2
COL
48%
27%
25%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
COL
2 - 1
ARG
22%
26%
52%
|
91 | 97 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
COL
1 - 0
VEN
67%
21%
12%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
BOL
0 - 0
COL
27%
29%
44%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
VEN
0 - 1
BOL
54%
24%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
VEN
1 - 0
SLV
78%
15%
7%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2008 |
VEN
1 - 1
HTI
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2008 |
VEN
1 - 0
HTI
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2007 |
VEN
5 - 3
BOL
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |