Colombia vs Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
8.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1997 |
COL
2 - 2
SLV
72%
19%
8%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1997 |
PER
2 - 1
COL
35%
30%
35%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1997 |
COL
3 - 0
BOL
61%
24%
16%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1997 |
JAM
1 - 0
COL
21%
31%
49%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1997 |
COL
1 - 0
ECU
62%
24%
15%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1997 |
VEN
0 - 3
PER
23%
26%
51%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1997 |
ARG
2 - 0
VEN
79%
15%
6%
|
59 | 93 | 34 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1997 |
VEN
1 - 1
ECU
22%
26%
52%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 1997 |
PER
2 - 0
VEN
74%
17%
9%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 1997 |
URU
2 - 0
VEN
76%
17%
8%
|
59 | 89 | 30 | 0 |