Colombia vs Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1993 |
USA
1 - 2
COL
42%
31%
27%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1993 |
COL
4 - 1
CRC
51%
27%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1993 |
VEN
0 - 0
COL
24%
28%
49%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1992 |
MEX
0 - 0
COL
69%
21%
10%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1992 |
USA
0 - 1
COL
46%
29%
25%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1993 |
VEN
0 - 0
COL
24%
28%
49%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1993 |
VEN
0 - 0
PER
27%
24%
49%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1991 |
PER
5 - 1
VEN
64%
22%
13%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1991 |
PAR
5 - 0
VEN
71%
20%
10%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1991 |
ARG
3 - 0
VEN
74%
18%
8%
|
60 | 90 | 30 | -1 |