Colombia vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
31.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1988 |
ENG
1 - 1
COL
81%
14%
5%
|
80 | 93 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1988 |
FIN
1 - 3
COL
35%
25%
39%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1988 |
SCO
0 - 0
COL
69%
21%
11%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1988 |
USA
0 - 2
COL
39%
25%
36%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1988 |
COL
3 - 0
CAN
74%
16%
11%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1988 |
GTM
1 - 0
URU
33%
31%
37%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1987 |
URU
1 - 0
CHI
56%
25%
19%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1987 |
URU
1 - 0
ARG
35%
28%
37%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 1987 |
URU
2 - 1
BOL
80%
13%
7%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1987 |
URU
2 - 1
ECU
83%
12%
5%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |