Colombia vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.6%
38.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1985 |
BRA
2 - 1
COL
87%
10%
3%
|
74 | 95 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1985 |
COL
2 - 2
PAR
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1985 |
COL
1 - 0
PAR
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1985 |
PAR
0 - 3
COL
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 1985 |
URU
3 - 0
COL
73%
19%
8%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1985 |
PER
2 - 1
URU
36%
30%
34%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1985 |
URU
2 - 1
CHI
63%
23%
14%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
ECU
0 - 2
URU
25%
26%
49%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
CHI
2 - 0
URU
45%
28%
27%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
URU
2 - 1
ECU
77%
17%
7%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |