Copa America Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Colombia vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
28%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1975 |
COL
2 - 0
ECU
69%
17%
14%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1975 |
PAR
0 - 1
COL
73%
16%
12%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 1975 |
ECU
1 - 3
COL
61%
20%
19%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 1975 |
COL
1 - 0
PAR
44%
25%
31%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 1973 |
URU
0 - 1
COL
75%
16%
10%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | +2 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 1975 |
URU
2 - 3
ARG
41%
28%
31%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1975 |
CHI
1 - 3
URU
55%
25%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1975 |
URU
0 - 1
PAR
57%
24%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1975 |
PAR
0 - 1
URU
51%
26%
23%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1975 |
URU
1 - 0
CHI
55%
25%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |