Colombia vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
40.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1957 |
ARG
8 - 2
COL
88%
8%
4%
|
62 | 90 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1950 |
HND
2 - 0
COL
70%
16%
15%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1950 |
GTM
2 - 1
COL
69%
16%
15%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1949 |
BOL
4 - 0
COL
44%
22%
34%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1949 |
ECU
3 - 2
COL
35%
22%
43%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1957 |
URU
5 - 2
ECU
91%
6%
3%
|
83 | 48 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1956 |
ARG
2 - 2
URU
67%
17%
15%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1956 |
URU
1 - 2
ARG
40%
23%
37%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 1956 |
URU
2 - 1
CSK
61%
19%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 1956 |
PAR
2 - 2
URU
37%
22%
41%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |