Colombia vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
48%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1957 |
COL
4 - 1
ECU
87%
8%
5%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1957 |
PER
4 - 1
COL
85%
10%
6%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1957 |
BRA
9 - 0
COL
91%
6%
3%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1957 |
CHI
3 - 2
COL
81%
12%
8%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
COL
1 - 0
URU
38%
22%
40%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1957 |
ARG
1 - 1
URU
70%
17%
14%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1957 |
URU
0 - 0
ARG
30%
24%
47%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1957 |
URU
2 - 0
CHI
81%
11%
7%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1957 |
URU
3 - 2
BRA
52%
21%
27%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1957 |
URU
5 - 3
PER
77%
13%
10%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |