Colombia vs USSR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
13.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
49.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
17.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.5%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
USA
1 - 1
COL
37%
27%
36%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1990 |
URU
2 - 0
COL
67%
21%
11%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1989 |
ISR
0 - 0
COL
51%
27%
22%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1989 |
COL
1 - 0
ISR
58%
24%
17%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
COL
2 - 1
PAR
42%
29%
29%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1989 |
SUN
2 - 0
TUR
81%
14%
5%
|
94 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1989 |
DDR
2 - 1
SUN
34%
29%
37%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1989 |
AUT
0 - 0
SUN
31%
29%
40%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
POL
1 - 1
SUN
34%
28%
37%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1989 |
SUN
1 - 1
ISL
83%
13%
4%
|
94 | 62 | 32 | 0 |