Colombia vs East Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
48.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1972 |
COL
3 - 1
GHA
42%
24%
34%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1972 |
DDR
6 - 1
COL
83%
10%
7%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1972 |
POL
5 - 1
COL
83%
11%
7%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 1972 |
ARG
4 - 1
COL
79%
15%
6%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1972 |
FRA
3 - 2
COL
80%
12%
7%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1972 |
CSK
1 - 3
DDR
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1972 |
DDR
5 - 0
FIN
84%
11%
5%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
SUN
2 - 2
DDR
74%
15%
11%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1972 |
DDR
3 - 2
BRD
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1972 |
DDR
7 - 0
MEX
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |