Colombia vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
COL
2 - 0
BOL
75%
17%
8%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
ARG
0 - 0
COL
75%
16%
9%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
COL
1 - 0
CRC
64%
21%
16%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
COL
2 - 0
SEN
68%
21%
12%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 0
COL
52%
26%
22%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 0
PER
70%
18%
11%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
PER
1 - 0
MEX
12%
19%
69%
|
86 | 94 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2011 |
URU
1 - 1
PER
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
PER
1 - 0
SEN
54%
25%
21%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
CZE
0 - 0
PER
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |