Colombia vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
14.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
ARG
1 - 0
COL
70%
20%
10%
|
92 | 98 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
VEN
2 - 0
COL
35%
28%
36%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
COL
2 - 0
BOL
64%
22%
14%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
COL
2 - 0
HTI
72%
19%
9%
|
92 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2008 |
COL
1 - 0
NGA
57%
25%
18%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
PER
1 - 2
ECU
43%
27%
30%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
BRA
3 - 0
PER
84%
12%
4%
|
85 | 99 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2009 |
PER
1 - 3
CHI
36%
29%
36%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
PER
0 - 1
PAR
33%
29%
38%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
SLV
1 - 0
PER
26%
26%
48%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | -1 |