Colombia vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2001 |
COL
2 - 0
CHI
53%
23%
24%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2001 |
COL
1 - 0
ECU
66%
20%
14%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2001 |
COL
2 - 0
VEN
85%
11%
4%
|
91 | 67 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2001 |
ARG
3 - 0
COL
71%
20%
10%
|
91 | 98 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2001 |
VEN
2 - 2
COL
23%
27%
50%
|
91 | 67 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2001 |
PER
1 - 0
MEX
27%
25%
48%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2001 |
BRA
2 - 0
PER
94%
5%
1%
|
86 | 99 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2001 |
PER
3 - 3
PAR
25%
24%
51%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2001 |
PER
1 - 2
ECU
52%
25%
23%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2001 |
BRA
1 - 1
PER
90%
8%
2%
|
86 | 100 | 14 | 0 |