Colombia vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
10.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1997 |
PAR
2 - 1
COL
42%
30%
28%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1997 |
COL
0 - 1
ARG
37%
28%
36%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1997 |
COL
1 - 0
SVK
85%
11%
5%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1996 |
VEN
0 - 2
COL
23%
30%
47%
|
90 | 62 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1996 |
KOR
4 - 1
COL
39%
31%
31%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1997 |
PER
1 - 1
ECU
49%
27%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1997 |
PAR
2 - 1
PER
61%
25%
15%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1997 |
MEX
0 - 0
PER
72%
19%
9%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1997 |
PER
1 - 2
DEN
24%
30%
46%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1997 |
USA
0 - 1
PER
62%
23%
16%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |