Colombia vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
15%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
10.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 1995 |
USA
0 - 0
COL
38%
31%
31%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1995 |
MEX
0 - 0
COL
58%
26%
17%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1995 |
COL
1 - 0
NGA
68%
22%
11%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1995 |
COL
2 - 1
URU
45%
29%
27%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1995 |
AUS
0 - 1
COL
40%
31%
28%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 1995 |
PER
4 - 1
BOL
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1995 |
ARG
1 - 0
PER
76%
17%
7%
|
78 | 92 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1995 |
PER
6 - 0
CHI
27%
30%
43%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1995 |
URU
1 - 0
PER
70%
20%
10%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1994 |
PER
0 - 1
URU
26%
30%
44%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |