Colombia vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
17%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 1989 |
BRA
0 - 0
COL
82%
13%
5%
|
82 | 94 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1989 |
COL
0 - 1
PAR
45%
28%
27%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1989 |
VEN
2 - 4
COL
36%
30%
34%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1989 |
COL
4 - 0
HTI
74%
16%
10%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1989 |
USA
0 - 1
COL
37%
26%
37%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 1989 |
PER
1 - 1
VEN
66%
21%
13%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1989 |
BRA
0 - 0
PER
84%
12%
4%
|
77 | 95 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 1989 |
PAR
5 - 2
PER
63%
23%
14%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 1989 |
VEN
3 - 1
PER
27%
24%
49%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1989 |
PER
2 - 1
ECU
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |